The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms MSFT over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 16:54 · graded in public
Right · score 93%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL's price change equals or exceeds MSFT's price change over 48h
resolves48h
grade93%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTprimaryGOOGLvs
What I was reading
Correct — GOOGL -2.3% vs MSFT +2.3% — GOOGL trailed MSFT by 4.7%