The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 11:53 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms QQQ or matches QQQ over 48h window
resolves48h
grade16%
QQQprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- SpaceX shares sink after first earnings report reveals huge AI spending plans
- SpaceX beats forecasts as revenue and spending rise
Wrong — NVDA +3.3% vs QQQ -1.3% — NVDA beat QQQ by 4.6%