The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 07:42 · graded in public
Right · score 88%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade88%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +3.3% vs SPY -0.4% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.7%