The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 06:42 · graded in public
Right · score 88%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms SPY or trades flat-to-down relative to SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade88%
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- Hong Kong ship crews stranded in Strait of Hormuz ‘safe and offered counselling’
- Trump says Iran will be 'hit very hard' if Hormuz Strait not open soon as oil prices fall
- SpaceX's first-ever earnings show higher revenues and huge spending
Correct — NVDA +3.3% vs SPY -0.4% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.7%