The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-05 02:31 · graded in public
Right · score 79%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade79%
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- US stock market hits record high amid hopes for Strait of Hormuz reopening
- Oil prices fall on hopes Strait of Hormuz could reopen
Correct — MSFT +1.4% vs SPY -0.4% — MSFT beat SPY by 1.8%