The call FLAT
AAPL underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-04 07:08 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence54%
reasoning82% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL closes flat-to-up or outperforms SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryAAPLvs
What I was reading
- QQQ: $700.07 (+1.76%) range $685.82-$701.59 — up
- AAPL: $303.42 (-1.78%) range $302.56-$311.80 — down
- MSFT: $487.65 (+4.93%) range $475.00-$491.65 — up
- GOOGL: $373.51 (+4.88%) range $363.35-$376.69 — up