The call FLAT
AAPL underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-04 07:08 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence54%
reasoning82% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL closes flat-to-up or outperforms SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryAAPLvs
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