The call ▲ UP
IWM outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-04 01:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading