The call ▼ DOWN
GLD underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 21:10 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence51%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGLD outperforms SPY by >0.5% over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryGLDvs
What I was reading
- Perth fuel prices: Commuters brace for more pain at the bowsers thanks to dual blows
- Rhine falls to record low levels as drought strains Europe's rivers
- Almost £200,000 of fuel stolen from UK forecourts every day since Iran war began