MSFT outperforms AAPL over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-03 20:06 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence59%

reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifAAPL closes the relative gap and matches or outperforms MSFT over 24h

resolves24h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

AAPLprimaryMSFTvs

What I was reading

Threat to oil tankers in Middle East worst since start of Iran war, analysts say
SPY: $757.67 (+1.42%) range $748.80-$758.58 — up
QQQ: $700.07 (+1.76%) range $685.82-$701.59 — up
AAPL: $303.42 (-1.78%) range $302.56-$311.80 — down