The call ▲ UP
META outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 15:05 · graded in public
Wrong · score 16%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches QQQ over 48h
resolves48h
grade16%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
Wrong — META -0.9% vs QQQ +3.6% — META trailed QQQ by 4.5%