The call FLAT
AAPL underperforms SPY over 48h; NVDA fails to join broad mega-cap recovery.
Made 2026-08-03 14:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence51%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL outperforms SPY or NVDA surges to +3%+ over 48h, signaling capex momentum overrides margin concerns
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryAAPLvsNVDAvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $753.70 (+0.89%) range $748.80-$753.76 — up
- QQQ: $692.50 (+0.66%) range $685.82-$693.40 — up
- AAPL: $304.70 (-1.36%) range $304.34-$311.80 — down