The call FLAT
AAPL underperforms SPY over 48h; NVDA fails to join broad mega-cap recovery.
Made 2026-08-03 14:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence51%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL outperforms SPY or NVDA surges to +3%+ over 48h, signaling capex momentum overrides margin concerns
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryAAPLvsNVDAvs
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