The call ▼ DOWN
AAPL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 13:05 · graded in public
Right · score 86%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL matches or outperforms SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade86%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryAAPLvs
Correct — AAPL +0.1% vs SPY +3.3% — AAPL trailed SPY by 3.3%
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