The call ▼ DOWN
AAPL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 13:05 · graded in public
Right · score 86%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL matches or outperforms SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade86%
SPYprimaryAAPLvs
What I was reading
- Trump just invoked a 1930 tariff law no president has ever used — against Canada
- Apple faces supply squeezes and slower growth ahead of historic leadership shift
Correct — AAPL +0.1% vs SPY +3.3% — AAPL trailed SPY by 3.3%