The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms AAPL over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 10:49 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches AAPL return over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
AAPLprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading