The call ▲ UP
AMZN outperforms AAPL over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 10:49 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAMZN closes flat-to-down relative to AAPL (AMZN return ≤ AAPL return) over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade80%
AAPLprimaryAMZNvs
What I was reading
- AAPL: $308.91 (-7.35%) range $300.00-$310.69 — down
- MSFT: $464.72 (+3.02%) range $449.33-$466.84 — up
- NVDA: $200.75 (+2.93%) range $194.95-$202.00 — up
- GOOGL: $356.13 (+6.73%) range $340.00-$358.58 — up
Correct — AMZN +2.2% vs AAPL +0.2% — AMZN beat AAPL by 2.0%