The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 09:49 · graded in public
Wrong · score 23%
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade23%
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
- China acknowledges ‘temperature gap’ between tech boom and traditional slump
- Germany news: Calls intensify to ban Meta Glasses
- What Are Companies Getting for All That A.I. Spending?
Wrong — META +5.6% vs SPY +3.3% — META beat SPY by 2.4%