The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 05:49 · graded in public
Right · score 84%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade84%
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- HCLTech posts record $2.4B bookings on 62% AI revenue surge
Correct — MSFT +6.0% vs SPY +3.3% — MSFT beat SPY by 2.8%