The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 05:49 · graded in public
Right · score 82%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade82%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +5.6% vs SPY +3.3% — NVDA beat SPY by 2.3%