BTC underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-08-03 02:49 · graded in public

Right · score 76%

directionDOWN

confidence55%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC matches or outperforms SPY return over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade76%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYvsBitcoinvs

What I was reading

Coldcard Firmware Flaw Drains Over $70M in Bitcoin
Uber is building an autonomous vehicle empire, and here's every company it's using to do it | TechCrunch
UAE freezes 'Desi Bling' star Satish Sanpal's assets over money laundering probe
Arsenal’s fan token and the business of crypto in football as Gunners face Girona

Correct — bitcoin +2.0% vs SPY +3.3% — bitcoin trailed SPY by 1.2%