The call ▼ DOWN
BTC remains flat-to-down over 48h; stablecoin outflow momentum outweighs Iran de-escalation relief
Made 2026-08-02 22:47 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence50%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes >1.5% higher over 48h window, signaling that liquidity concern was priced and risk-on is resuming
resolves48h
gradeopen
BitcoinprimaryIranmentioned
What I was reading
- Stablecoin outflows hit $7B in 2026, pressuring...
- Trump cancels Iran strikes subject to deal being made 'rapidly'
- Oil Prices Plummet as Investors Digest Pause in Fighting in Iran War