The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-31 15:36 · graded in public
Right · score 91%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade91%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTprimarySPYvs
Correct — MSFT +8.4% vs SPY +4.1% — MSFT beat SPY by 4.3%