The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-31 13:35 · graded in public
Wrong · score 21%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches QQQ over the next 48h window
resolves48h
grade21%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
METAprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — META +7.9% vs QQQ +4.8% — META beat QQQ by 3.1%