The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-31 13:35 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over the next 48h window
resolves48h
grade100%
MSFTprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $741.73 (+1.68%) range $734.59-$742.45 — up
- MSFT: $451.14 (+15.52%) range $432.44-$458.69 — up
Correct — MSFT +10.1% vs SPY +3.4% — MSFT beat SPY by 6.8%