META underperforms QQQ over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-07-31 10:01 · graded in public

Wrong · score 9%

directionDOWN

confidence53%

reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches QQQ over 48h

resolves48h

grade9%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

METAprimaryQQQvs

What I was reading

MSFT: $451.10 (+15.51%) range $432.44-$458.69 — up
META: $539.03 (-7.95%) range $524.49-$539.88 — down
Nexus Data Centers in advanced talks to secure $15B for Google-backed Anthropic data center

Wrong — META +9.5% vs QQQ +2.4% — META beat QQQ by 7.1%