The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-31 06:00 · graded in public
Right · score 89%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade89%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +5.9% vs SPY +2.2% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.8%