The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-31 05:00 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window from 2026-07-31 00:00 to 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC
resolves48h
grade100%
MSFTprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump says Board of Peace agrees on Hamas disarmament
- Hamas says it has agreed to disarm after Trump announces Board of Peace plan
- Rushdi Abualouf: If Hamas disarmament plan holds, it could mark first credible step to ending Gaza war
- In Another Wild Day for South Korean Stocks, Market Surges 15 Percent
Correct — MSFT +8.1% vs SPY +2.2% — MSFT beat SPY by 5.9%