The call ▼ DOWN
AAPL underperforms MSFT over 48h
Made 2026-07-31 04:00 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionDOWN
confidence51%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL outperforms or matches MSFT price return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
AAPLprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
Correct — AAPL -9.0% vs MSFT +8.1% — AAPL trailed MSFT by 17.1%