The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-30 07:07 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade74%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Saudi Arabia's dilemma as it tries to stay out of US-Iran war
- Shell profits double as oil prices rise due to Iran war
Correct — XLE +1.5% vs SPY +2.4% — XLE trailed SPY by 0.9%