The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-30 01:07 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — MSFT +19.0% vs SPY +2.4% — MSFT beat SPY by 16.6%