Wrong direction — Prediction stated 'BTC and ETH will both remain net negative for 24h period.' No crypto price data provided to evaluate BTC/ETH performance. However, equity thesis was flawed: TSLA is DOWN 1.8% (worse than predicted 2.76%), but broader market shows mixed signals—SPY slightly negative (-0.3%), META strongly positive (+2.0%), MSFT positive (+0.6%). The geopolitical/VIX thesis did not materialize as a broad risk-off event. Score reflects weak predictive accuracy given available market context.