The call ▲ UP
USO outperforms XLE over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 19:06 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms or matches USO over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade28%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
USOprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
Wrong — USO +0.6% vs XLE +1.4% — USO trailed XLE by 0.8%