NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h

The call FLAT

Made 2026-07-29 17:06 · graded in public

Wrong · score 28%

direction—

confidence51%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifNVDA outperforms or matches QQQ over the next 48 hours

resolves48h

grade28%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimaryNVDAvs

What I was reading

55 Percent of Leaders Regret AI Layoffs—and a Major Hiring Reversal Has Begun
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says the ‘ChatGPT moment’ for physical AI has arrived, eyeing a $50 trillion opportunity
Some tech shares are plunging - what does that mean for the AI revolution?

Wrong — NVDA +3.8% vs QQQ +3.1% — NVDA beat QQQ by 0.6%