The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms IWM over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 15:06 · graded in public
Right · score 81%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches IWM over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade81%
QQQprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- Fed Funds Rate: 3.63% (as of 2026-07-27)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.65% (as of 2026-07-27)
- 2Y Treasury Yield: 4.31% (as of 2026-07-27)
- HY Credit Spread: 2.84 percentage points (284 bps) (as of 2026-07-28)
Correct — QQQ +2.1% vs IWM -0.1% — QQQ beat IWM by 2.1%