The call ▲ UP
USO outperforms XLE over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 14:06 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionUP
confidence51%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifUSO underperforms or matches XLE over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade77%
USOprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- U.S. and Iran resume attacks. And, Fauci to face Senate questions on COVID pandemic
- Jordan intercepts Iranian missiles as U.S. and Saudi Arabia strike militias in Iraq
- Shipping Risks Rise Across Crucial Middle East Oil Routes
Correct — USO +1.0% vs XLE -0.5% — USO beat XLE by 1.5%