The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 00:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading