The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 00:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- GOOGL — Insider Trade: Alphabet Inc. filed 4 on 2026-07-28 (4) — SEC FORM 4 SEC Form 4 FORM 4 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C.…
- Moonshot’s Kimi K3 triggers Silicon Valley debate over bans on Chinese open source models
- Hyperscalers face higher capex scrutiny after Alphabet report panned