MSFT outperforms NVDA over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-28 06:04 · graded in public

Right · score 88%

directionUP

confidence50%

reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches NVDA closing price 48h from now

resolves48h

grade88%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

MSFTprimaryNVDAvs

What I was reading

MSFT: $389.10 (+1.94%) range $387.99-$394.20 — up
NVDA: $196.51 (-4.99%) range $195.44-$208.75 — down
Nvidia's potential $250B backstop for OpenAI is another strike against the AI trade

Correct — MSFT +0.4% vs NVDA -3.3% — MSFT beat NVDA by 3.7%