The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-28 03:04 · graded in public
Right · score 92%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY price return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade92%
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- European Commission fines Google €890M under the Digital Markets Act
- VIX: 18.58 (as of 2026-07-24)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.69% (as of 2026-07-24)
Correct — GOOGL +3.1% vs SPY -1.3% — GOOGL beat SPY by 4.4%