The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-24 23:12 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL matches or outperforms SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump threatens EU with tariff probe over Google, tech fines
- Trump vows to investigate EU over fining of US tech companies
- Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta warn against overregulating open-weight models