The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-24 18:37 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- US and Iran trade more strikes in Gulf as fears of escalation mount
- US hits dozens of countries with new wave of tariffs
- Oil surges to $100 per barrel. And, Trump imposes a new round of tariffs
- Trump threatens a major escalation in Iran as the war nears the 5-month mark