The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-24 18:37 · graded in public
Right · score 84%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade84%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
Correct — MSFT +3.2% vs SPY +0.5% — MSFT beat SPY by 2.7%
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