The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-24 01:36 · graded in public
Wrong · score 17%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL matches or outperforms QQQ over 48h, or the $1B fine is disclosed as fully-reserved and does not move price negatively at open
resolves48h
grade17%
QQQprimaryGOOGLvs
Wrong — GOOGL +2.8% vs QQQ -1.4% — GOOGL beat QQQ by 4.2%