The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 05:10 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Iran war: Trump threatens bridges over Hormuz Strait attacks
- House passes Pentagon funding bill and a blueprint to unlock new dollars for Iran war
- Global Oil Prices Rise as Conflict with Iran Deepens