The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 01:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump’s Trade Negotiator Doubles Down on Tariffs Before Global Duties Expire
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.36 percentage points (36 bps) (as of 2026-07-22)
- VIX: 17.05 (as of 2026-07-21)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.63% (as of 2026-07-21)