The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 01:06 · graded in public
Wrong · score 14%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade14%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
Wrong — GOOGL -6.5% vs SPY -1.1% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 5.4%
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