The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-21 13:32 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade75%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Asia’s oil buyers face US$100-per-barrel risk as Houthis threaten Saudi blockade
- Trump slaps 50% tariffs on Canada and Carney vows to 'intensify' trade talks
- US launches fresh strikes on Iran, as Trump warns of retaliation for deaths of soldiers
Correct — XLE +1.6% vs SPY +0.6% — XLE beat SPY by 1.0%