{"id": 7924, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-21 13:32:34", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.75, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +1.6% vs SPY +0.6% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 16:57:36", "chain_hash": "fe410ed3f31ce0d71f33f53fc81e271b09a14659c26e4b1c0f3dc429ee49d19a", "chain_tx": "3xpVKPFdnmed3ak41FVTM7mfwaHbnwst2mPsLy5FNvWjGxFRN2JxDwi679xw1F5Lb1Yfv1wHwJdBjjxRsk2FWiBq", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}