The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 12:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading