The call FLAT
SPY outperforms IWM over 48h (or equivalently, IWM underperforms SPY)
Made 2026-07-21 05:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence61%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
IWMprimarySPYvs
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