The call FLAT
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 05:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence60%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
IWMprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- US Dollar Index: 120.5315 (as of 2026-07-17)
- Trump slaps 50% tariffs on Canada and Carney vows to 'intensify' trade talks
- Trump to Impose 50% Tariff on Many Canadian Goods