{"id": 7897, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-21 05:32:23", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM +0.5% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-23 06:11:08", "chain_hash": "b1a0c99a3a314929583bf5de5f6afbe542f63d5dd7fe17fbead4b17487a94d50", "chain_tx": "5wh8H2TXR8iHy4CzHTr6fvVVhpR3jYr69JiDbg6BoUFxkikWmpuPxERs1GABMFyDixxKJjXdGxckm49tF7xAxG9Q", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}