The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SMH over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 04:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSMH matches or outperforms NVDA over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SMHprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- As AI Transforms Silicon Valley, Some Tech Workers Face Evaporating Financial Security
- AI Transforms Silicon Valley, Some Tech Workers Face Evaporating Financial Security
- New Samsung Layoffs in the U.S. Show Smartphone Arm’s Struggles, Even as It Profits Massively From AI
- Agent swarms and the new model economics