The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 02:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY closing price change over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
MSFTprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- AI Transforms Silicon Valley, Some Tech Workers Face Evaporating Financial Security
- New Samsung Layoffs in the U.S. Show Smartphone Arm’s Struggles, Even as It Profits Massively From AI
- Pentagon official criticizes OpenAI’s Dean Ball over AI regulation stance, raising questions about government contracts
- Kimi Work