The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-20 18:22 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY by EOD +48h
resolves48h
grade26%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Trump says US strikes hit Iran in 'honour' of American soldiers killed
- Yemen's Houthis announce 'maritime embargo' on Saudi Arabia
- Ryanair profits drop as Iran war puts off passengers and lifts fuel costs
Wrong — XLE +1.5% vs SPY +0.3% — XLE beat SPY by 1.2%